You get 2 nonary manifolds per random manifold drop in a dungeon. You need 250 nonary manifolds for a weapon. That means you need to get 125 random manifold drops for a single chest opening at the emissary.
Who decided on 2 manifolds per drop??? Two?!
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Wouldn’t rely on those drops tbh. Just do encounters. Some of them are quite good and easy to farm. Project phalanx is good and that’s what I farmed.