JavaScript is required to use Bungie.net

Service Alert
Destiny 2 will be temporarily offline tomorrow for scheduled maintenance. Please stay tuned to @BungieHelp for updates.

Destiny

Discuss all things Destiny.
originally posted in:Guardian Radio Alliance
Edited by It Resolves: 6/10/2014 1:16:49 AM
63

The Beta Window - Empirical Evidence

There has been a ton of guesses about when the beta will be, but I think using some simple known quantities we can narrow it down to around a 30-40 day time period. [u]Facts:[/u] 1. Summer, from a meteorological perspective, is defined as the months of June, July, and August. 2. E3 is June 10-12, 2014 3. Release date is September 9, 2014 [u]Inferred Assumptions:[/u] A. From (1) we know that the beta must be in a 90 day window B. From a marketing perspective E3 provides an excellent springboard for games releasing in the second half of the year. Destiny will have a playable version on the floor to boost hype for pre-orders and, IMHO, the Beta. C. In order to "go Gold" four weeks before release, which is an industry average, Bungie will need to deliver the Master CD to manufacturing on or around August 10. Using A-C as our assumptions based on the facts we can narrow the Beta window down to June 13 - August 10. I think we can make a fair assumption that Bungie will want 2-3 weeks prior to "going Gold" to put the things they've learned from the Beta into effect. [b]This puts the Beta window between June 13 - July 27.[/b] [b]Personally I think it would be awesome if the Beta started at the conclusion of E3, giving early access to PS3/4 owners on that weekend, June 13-15th[/b], and then opening it up to Xbox owners on the 16th and ending on the 29th of June, two weeks later. Either that or it takes place sometime in the month of July, which is perfect because my birthday is in that month. Whatdayathink? Am I right? Am I wrong? Do you think Bungie is going to do a fake out and put the Beta out before E3? On a side note I really think that those of us that pre-ordered last year should get some sort of "true fan" bonus, whether that is an emblem or armor effect or something else. EDIT: NAILED IT!!

Posting in language:

 

Play nice. Take a minute to review our Code of Conduct before submitting your post. Cancel Edit Create Fireteam Post

View Entire Topic
  • Edited by LizardMWK: 2/17/2014 2:25:17 AM
    I like where y'all are going with this, but look, why don't we just take this a step further? LET'S JELLYBEAN THIS SUCKA. You know what I'm talking about, right? (if not, see attached video from the BBC.) If you fill a jar with jelly beans and ask 100 people to guess the amount, the jelly bean principle suggests that the average guess will be close to the real answer. So, here are the guesses that people have made in this thread so far: (note: Most people guessed a range &/or used vague terms like "mid-June". I translated the vagaries into concrete ranges (e.g. "mid-July" = 7/15/2014), then use the midpoint of that range as that person's guess. This ain't exactly scientific.) 22-Jul-2014 BobObba 7-Jun-2014 Cobra Commander 26-Jun-2014 Daaaah Whoosh 19-Jun-2014 DiPolarPilot 23-Jun-2014 Ison 20-Jun-2014 KingGuerilla55 30-Jun-2014 LizardMWK 1-Apr-2014 mickey young 7-Jul-2014 NZRusty 7-Jul-2014 Salient Sin 20-Jun-2014 TechnoKat (agreed w/ KingGuerilla55's guess) 8-May-2014 theforceswithin That makes the average date... 15 June 2014! (the Sunday after E3) (btw I'm guessing June 30th as the PS4 early-beta launch date, with the general beta launching a week later on Bungie Day.)

    Posting in language:

     

    Play nice. Take a minute to review our Code of Conduct before submitting your post. Cancel Edit Create Fireteam Post

    4 Replies
    You are not allowed to view this content.
    ;
    preload icon
    preload icon
    preload icon