originally posted in:Guardian Radio Alliance
I like where y'all are going with this, but look, why don't we just take this a step further? LET'S JELLYBEAN THIS SUCKA.
You know what I'm talking about, right? (if not, see attached video from the BBC.) If you fill a jar with jelly beans and ask 100 people to guess the amount, the jelly bean principle suggests that the average guess will be close to the real answer.
So, here are the guesses that people have made in this thread so far:
(note: Most people guessed a range &/or used vague terms like "mid-June". I translated the vagaries into concrete ranges (e.g. "mid-July" = 7/15/2014), then use the midpoint of that range as that person's guess. This ain't exactly scientific.)
22-Jul-2014 BobObba
7-Jun-2014 Cobra Commander
26-Jun-2014 Daaaah Whoosh
19-Jun-2014 DiPolarPilot
23-Jun-2014 Ison
20-Jun-2014 KingGuerilla55
30-Jun-2014 LizardMWK
1-Apr-2014 mickey young
7-Jul-2014 NZRusty
7-Jul-2014 Salient Sin
20-Jun-2014 TechnoKat (agreed w/ KingGuerilla55's guess)
8-May-2014 theforceswithin
That makes the average date... 15 June 2014! (the Sunday after E3)
(btw I'm guessing June 30th as the PS4 early-beta launch date, with the general beta launching a week later on Bungie Day.)
English
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the awkward moment when your statistical formula is wrong.
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I'll throw my name in the hat for June 17th (20th for xbox)
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July 12,2014. Link explains itself. [https://www.bungie.net/7_Official-Destiny-Beta-Start-Date/en/Forum/Post?id=63535906#referred-Destiny%20(Destiny)link[/url]
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btw, I'll check back in a few days and do another calculation if people keep submitting their guesses to this thread. This isn't even remotely valid statistically-speaking, but it's fun.