{{
`${userDetail.user.displayName}${userDetail.user.cachedBungieGlobalDisplayNameCode ? `#${standardizeBungieGlobalCode(userDetail.user.cachedBungieGlobalDisplayNameCode)}` : ""}`}}
{{getUserClans()}}
9/22/2021 8:03:59 AM
3
Vex mythoclast
So I've completed Vog 56 times now. If I had to guess, maybe around 5 were not lootable clears. I have not received vex yet. With each week and lootable clear pass by, I wonder more and more if my account is bugged so that I can't get vex. I just feel like I should of had vex by now. Is this some sort of bug or is this terrible RNG? I feel like that vast majority of people have gotten it within the first 10 clears.
-
Buy the next season DLC, you will receive it after 2 runs
-
Edited by Seki: 9/22/2021 10:28:42 AMYou are probably right on that a big percentage of the community gets Mythoclast in <=10 runs. Shall we run some numbers? Let's make simplying assumptions: Let's say the Mythoclast is on a 5% chance to drop and this chance is static (meaning we assume no bad luck protection, just to make calculations quicker) And let A denote the chance of obtaining the gun on any specific run (A=0.05) Getting Mythoclast [u]exactly once[/u] within the first 10 runs would then have this chance of occuring: A* (1-A)^9 * (10 choose 9) rounds to 31.5% So this is quite likely in that scenario. Now not obtaining it in 51 clears: (1-A)^51 rounds to 7.3% This does not seem absurdly unlikely Note that we do not know the starting value nor by how much it is increased from bad luck protection, meaning this could well be off by a lot
-
It’s just really crappy RNG, unfortunately, only thing you can do is to keep trying - for which I wish you luck!
