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9/10/2014 4:42:45 AM
3
I keep hearing and seeing posts of possible ISIS threats near Mexico and Texas? Are these credible or just fake internet click bait.
Also how exactly did Isis come about and why?
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Edited by DB5: 9/10/2014 1:01:56 PMAs far as the ISIS-Mexico thing, there's no Zimmermann note going around as it appears to be just click-bait. Apparently, there's chatter on jihadist forums that the Mexico border is just porous enough that the Islamic State could pay a cartel to, say, conduct a terror attack across the border. A single terror attack for a cartel not otherwise interested in an insurgency is silly, because the cartel would find that its activities become a lot more challenging after it has just bombed the United States at the behest of a FTO that the United States sees as one of the most powerful. In other words, its days as a cartel would be in jeopardy for the United States would take that attack very seriously. For cartels interested primarily in money, that doesn't benefit them at all -- it only would benefit the Islamic State, and even that only to a small extent. In short, it's [i]highly[/i] unlikely. Mag did a good job explaining the origins of the Islamic State.
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Thanks I was skeptical it was real but these days have me paranoid.
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1. I sincerely doubt they're credible. 2. ISIS has it's origins in Jamaat at-Tawhid wal-Jihad, which was formed before the 2003 war by a dude name Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, who trained in UBL's camps and was sent to the Levant to establish cells there. After the war, the oath he gave to UBL became public, UBL made his group an official branch (which they then started calling themselves al-Qaeda in Iraq), and they started killing Americans. Zarqawi was quite the troublemaker, but I'll get back to this later as this plays into why ISIS is how they are now. In 2006, Zarqawi was killed and Abu Ayyub al-Masri took over. Al-Masri was a little more cautious than Zarqawi and wanted other likeminded groups to like and join AQ. So, he, along with a separate al-Baghdadi, established the Islamic State of Iraq, which included several Sunni jihadist groups with AQI leading them. In 2010, al-Masri and Abu Bakr were killed and the now current leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, took over. Except at this point, his group was pretty much decimated. However, he still took the initiative and began to rebuild. As we were pulling out and the war in Syria started, this offered him a prime chance to rebuild. So he sent fighters to Syria (at this point it was probably at the behest of Zawahri, as Baghdadi was still loyal then) and they actually set up Jabhat al-Nusra. A few years go by, the situation in both Iraq and Syria was worsening and his Islamic State of Iraq was getting much, much stronger. So strong, that Baghdadi blew the plausible deniability about Nusra and said they were under his control. They fired back essentially saying "-blam!- you, Zawahri is our boss". Baghdadi said "-blam!- you, I'm your boss" and changed his group's name to Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham. Zawahri then said that Nusra was under his control and Baghdadi should focus on Iraq as their security was becoming more and more exploitable. Baghdadi still didn't comply and then Zawahri was forced to kick him out for not obeying. In part, Baghdadi didn't obey because his mentor was the aforementioned Zarqawi, who was on a mission from UBL to establish the jihad in the Levant. Baghdadi, being that he took on the role, felt that he needed to continue this mission (he might have also gotten commands from UBL in 2010, I'm not too sure). As I also mentioned, Zarqawi was also a troublemaker for UBL, as UBL felt that excessive killing of fellow Sunni's didn't help. Zarqawi held the belief that even if you were Sunni, so long as you didn't share the same ideology, you were kuffar. Baghdadi obviously believes the same. Why they were able to enlist the help of several Sunni tribes is a direct result of sectarian policies enacted by Nouri al-Maliki, the former PM of Iraq.
