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3/13/2017 4:52:07 PM
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[quote]How many "guardians" are REALLY gonna Buy D2 ?[/quote] There's a good here with a number answer. Of the registered players, how many will buy Destiny 2? If we look at PS4 trophy stats, we see that 11% of players have finished the first mission of the Rise of Iron DLC. That means 11% of players bought the DLC. That looks like a pretty dismal market, except for a few other factors to consider. For one, most players buy retail releases only and not DLC. (Pre-Destiny, I was in the group that never bought DLC). For two, the number of registered players increases over time as second hand copies are passed around, and those frugal players don't buy DLC, but they might buy Destiny 2. For three, many of the 80% of players who quit in the first few months of Destiny quit out of frustration, and these are the Guardians least likely to return for Destiny 2. (We can also use PS4 trophy stats to see who quit Destiny early in their progress.) So the best I can say without more information is that more than 11% and less than 100% and of Guardians will buy Destiny 2. The "less than 100%" is the key conclusion here. It means that unless Bungie brings in new players, Destiny 2 will under-perform the original just like many of last year's titles such as Titanfall2, Dishonored 2, Watchdogs 2, Rise of the Tomb Raider, etc.
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