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5/24/2025 3:27:12 AM
6
36 possible combinations
There are only 36 possible perk combos on claws of the wolf…meaning realistically 1 in 36 should be the roll i want. I have now gotten over 70 this week without 2 rolls im going for…this is ridiculous
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Since someone needs to be the smartass, formula for an event with a set probability to not happen in n attempts is (1-p)^n So if we Stick with the 1/36 = 0.0278 (1-0.0278)^70 =0,1389 You had roughly a 14% probability to not get your roll in your 70 attempts. BUT, that is with a common chance for all perks, and we all know Bungie tweaks the odds for the good perks..
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[quote]There are only 36 possible perk combos on claws of the wolf…meaning realistically 1 in 36 should be the roll i want. I have now gotten over 70 this week without 2 rolls im going for…this is ridiculous[/quote] Yes. Each drop has a 1 in 36 chance to get your desired perks. Nothing ridiculous about it. Some are lucky while others aren't. The SMG from ghosts dungeon this week.... I'm trying get rolls with incandescent. I got 1 drop from a run and 2 dropped from quest to open the platform chest. All had incandescent.
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1 ReplyThat just means statistically you could have gotten that roll twice IF it was rotating through the perks in succession which it is not. It’s random, so every drop is a 1 in 36 chance.
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14 RepliesIsn’t it 1/36 chance every time you get the weapon, not total. So out of 36 drops you wouldn’t be guaranteed the roll you want, because every time it drops you have a 1/36th chance to get what you want.
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I stopped going for some rolls... When I get the same exact roll 4 times in a row with zero variations. Then get two different rolls and then the same roll 3 times in a row again. It just feels rigged.
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What u tryna get on it
