So how would 128 kills and one death play into your theory? I got 9 strange coins for that one and the other guy got 47 kills and spent 1/3rd of the time dead and he got Truth.
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Uh, because I said 6 or less deaths is usually exotic, legendary or [i]coins[/i]...
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I usually have the same kills/deaths in the nightfalls and I am lucky to get anything other than a crappy legendary (aka energy) or coins. Last week on two of my characters I had 1 death each and they got 11 and 12 energies. The third I died 8 times and got a Gjallerhorn. It's all rng, and some are luckier in the lottery than others.