originally posted in:Guardian Radio Alliance
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There has been a ton of guesses about when the beta will be, but I think using some simple known quantities we can narrow it down to around a 30-40 day time period.
[u]Facts:[/u]
1. Summer, from a meteorological perspective, is defined as the months of June, July, and August.
2. E3 is June 10-12, 2014
3. Release date is September 9, 2014
[u]Inferred Assumptions:[/u]
A. From (1) we know that the beta must be in a 90 day window
B. From a marketing perspective E3 provides an excellent springboard for games releasing in the second half of the year. Destiny will have a playable version on the floor to boost hype for pre-orders and, IMHO, the Beta.
C. In order to "go Gold" four weeks before release, which is an industry average, Bungie will need to deliver the Master CD to manufacturing on or around August 10.
Using A-C as our assumptions based on the facts we can narrow the Beta window down to June 13 - August 10. I think we can make a fair assumption that Bungie will want 2-3 weeks prior to "going Gold" to put the things they've learned from the Beta into effect. [b]This puts the Beta window between June 13 - July 27.[/b]
[b]Personally I think it would be awesome if the Beta started at the conclusion of E3, giving early access to PS3/4 owners on that weekend, June 13-15th[/b], and then opening it up to Xbox owners on the 16th and ending on the 29th of June, two weeks later. Either that or it takes place sometime in the month of July, which is perfect because my birthday is in that month.
Whatdayathink? Am I right? Am I wrong? Do you think Bungie is going to do a fake out and put the Beta out before E3?
On a side note I really think that those of us that pre-ordered last year should get some sort of "true fan" bonus, whether that is an emblem or armor effect or something else.
EDIT: NAILED IT!!
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Day after E3 confirmed.