The success rate would be less than the reckoning used to be and we all heard how awful that was for everyone.
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The Reckoning is pretty easy. It's doable with one good Warlock and a Titan that knows how to stay alive. Hunters, not so much.
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A lot of people, including my friends, wouldn't run it because of the fail state. It wasn't easy pre nerf, especially with blackout during knight week. A random group of 6 would not succeed in heroic with blackout as the modifier.