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11/16/2010 11:56:28 AM
396
Reach's population over time: the stats (charts included)
Two weeks ago I thought it would be interesting to record the 24-hour population of Halo Reach once a day, so that I could eventually chart it to see trends over time and to see how other events like game releases, game updates, weekends and holidays affect population numbers.
Now that some time has passed, I've decided to post the population data for everyone to see. This data is recorded automatically every night at midnight PST. As of the time of this writing, there's population data for 18 days. Here it is.
[b]Daily Reach population for December 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:627904,619572,714700,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+December]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Dec 01:[/b] 627,904
[b]Dec 02:[/b] 619,572
[b]Dec 03:[/b] 714,700
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for November 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=930x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:996988,1062478,1014336,1015170,1150430,1270647,1221318,931124,750809,759752,769766,780314,823545,761414,613132,592997,581158,566492,657482,744015,694535,604976,659385,713895,715135,777063,791518,742180,577472,633285|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+November]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Nov 01:[/b] 996,988
[b]Nov 02:[/b] 1,062,478
[b]Nov 03:[/b] 1,014,336
[b]Nov 04:[/b] 1,015,170
[b]Nov 05:[/b] 1,150,430
[b]Nov 06:[/b] 1,270,647
[b]Nov 07:[/b] 1,221,318
[b]Nov 08:[/b] 931,124
[b]Nov 09:[/b] 750,809
[b]Nov 10:[/b] 759,752
[b]Nov 11:[/b] 769,766
[b]Nov 12:[/b] 780,314
[b]Nov 13:[/b] 823,545
[b]Nov 14:[/b] 761,414
[b]Nov 15:[/b] 613,132
[b]Nov 16:[/b] 592,997
[b]Nov 17:[/b] 581,158
[b]Nov 18:[/b] 566,492
[b]Nov 19:[/b] 657,482
[b]Nov 20:[/b] 744,015
[b]Nov 21:[/b] 694,535
[b]Nov 22:[/b] 604,976
[b]Nov 23:[/b] 659,385
[b]Nov 24:[/b] 713,895
[b]Nov 25:[/b] 715,135
[b]Nov 26:[/b] 777,063
[b]Nov 27:[/b] 791,518
[b]Nov 28:[/b] 742,180
[b]Nov 29:[/b] 577,472
[b]Nov 30:[/b] 633,285
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for October 2010[/b] (data incomplete because I didn't start recording until the 29th)
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1180634,1255478,1157023|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+October]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Oct 29:[/b] 1,180,634
[b]Oct 30:[/b] 1,255,478
[b]Oct 31:[/b] 1,157,023
[/quote]
[b]Average Reach population per day of the week since Oct 29th[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000|1:|Sunday|Monday|Tuesday|Wednesday|Thursday|Friday|Saturday&chxr=0,0,1750000&chxt=y,x&chbh=23,33&chs=440x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033&chg=25,50&chds=0,1750000&chd=t:915294,744739,739791,739409,737227,876771,977041&chtt=Average+Daily+Population+for+Halo+Reach]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Sunday:[/b] 915,294
[b]Monday:[/b] 744,739
[b]Tuesday:[/b] 739,791
[b]Wednesday:[/b] 739,409
[b]Thursday:[/b] 737,227
[b]Friday:[/b] 876,771
[b]Saturday:[/b] 977,041
[/quote]
For reference, a list of notable dates that could affect population:
[quote][b]November 1st, 2010:[/b] Dashboard update released
[b]November 2nd, 2010:[/b] Reach rank cap removed
[b]November 4th, 2010:[/b] Kinect released
[b]November 9th, 2010:[/b] Call of Duty: Black Ops and The Sims 3 released
[b]November 16th, 2010:[/b] Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood and Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit released
[b]November 18th, 2010:[/b] Black Ops title update released
[b]November 25th, 2010:[/b] Thanksgiving (USA)
[b]November 26th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend begins
[b]November 28th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend ends
[b]November 30th, 2010:[/b] Noble map pack released for Reach[/quote]
I highly recommend looking at the charts, as it makes the numbers much easier to compare to each other. If you want to follow this project, you may want to check out its homepage [url=http://www.metahalo.com/population/]here[/url] (or [url=http://www.metahalo.64digits.com/population/]here[/url] if that link isn't working.) There you can also view the same charts, but for Halo 3.
And before anyone asks, I do plan on creating more charts to show the data in different ways. Weekdays versus weekends would be one simple example. I'll update this post each night, since I can't do it automatically.
[Edited on 12.04.2010 12:51 AM PST]
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Reach died
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bearing in mind Halo:Reach affected by october release, Alot of people will be recieving this for christmas. Include the population flare for new DLC maps in my eyes projections could amplify the population of reach ABOVE the 1.1 million mark week-days & 1.8/2 million on weekends/Holidays :)
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 Reach looks to be doing well. Halo 3 didn't get back over 600,000 (24 hour population) until December 2007 (Heroic map pack) and Reach already has! In fact it was under 600,000 for nearly two weeks, hitting 400,000 a couple of times. Looks like Reach will end up doing better, especially with the map pack and free live weekend coming up.[/quote] Did it really go that low? That's surprising. I wish I had the numbers for that time period.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] RighteousTyrant [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] MegaMuffin16 "reach is dead" trolls = pwned[/quote]lolwut How do you figure? The number of people playing Reach dropped by about 50% in less than 3 weeks. Anyone who sees that as a positive indicator is horribly deluded. [/quote] Check movie and music sales sometime. There's always a huge drop off. Fact. Now what about the 300,000 person increase over the last week?
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Sure BO may have put a slight dent but there was sure a huge gap in the BO population within 2 weeks. (3.5 million now to 900,000 to 1,000,000 a day) I guess a lot of people didn't find the game as exciting as they expected, but of course it was at the time of its release. But really, really look forward to Nov. 30th. I would like to at least see 200,000. >_> not that it matters too much.
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meh, I blame the release date. I bet in a couple months or so (not long at all) well get right back there!
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ruze84 I gave COD a try, and kept it for only two days. The guys at GameStop were completely confused that I brought it back. I told them 'I won't be the first, so get ready.' [/quote] You spent $60 on a "gave it a try"? Why not just try it by renting it?
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I'm saving this thread. OP, you get an A+ and a cookie: (::) Keep up the good work.
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Well done, it's good to have a visual representation.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n I think there are some fundamental issues that have put off a lot of people, like grenades and melee. A single frag grenade can kill your when you're full shields and full health, if you're unlucky enough.[/quote] Only if it's right beneath your feet, I've found. Otherwise it does barely any damage. Plasma grenades do more damage from splash damage, an the obvious advantage of sticking means they can kill easier. [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n If you've taken even the slightest damage to your shields and a grenade hits you though, you're guaranteed dead. [/quote] Again, only if it is right under you when it explodes. Otherwise it will do very little damage. The splash damage on frag grenades is decidedly underpowered. [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n Then there's the problem with melee. Melee hits don't bleed through and the melee cooldown has been reduced, essentially equalizing almost every single melee battle into a neutral kill. In my opinion, both are ridiculous and make gameplay on small maps very frustrating.[/quote] This I agree with. When I work someone's shields down a bit from behind and they turn and we melee each other at the same time, we're at even footing. Next melee kills. Depending on factors like any lag and such, it's a 50/50 on who will win. Whoever was taking damage should already be dead. Melee is next to useless if you aren't behind the person when you melee. And you don't always want to do the assassination animation because it leaves you vulnerable.
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Reach looks to be doing well. Halo 3 didn't get back over 600,000 (24 hour population) until December 2007 (Heroic map pack) and Reach already has! In fact it was under 600,000 for nearly two weeks, hitting 400,000 a couple of times. Looks like Reach will end up doing better, especially with the map pack and free live weekend coming up. [Edited on 11.21.2010 9:45 PM PST]
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YOu have saved me the trouble of trying to show people reach isn't dead, thread saved, cookie given, hugz, and Epic Win!
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] TheTacoDefender This shall prove all those trolls wrong abput HR being dead/dieing. Thread saved! Great work.[/quote] Except the data now supports those claims.
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That map pack looks bad so IDK if thats going to help much, unless its cheaper than 800 points
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You should also include how its number 3 on the most played xbox live game. Reach is a fail and is losing players players way more faster then halo 3 or halo 2. Also a 1 year old game has a larger population then Reach. (Mw2) Nuff said.
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Wow, awesome project. Supported by saving thread.
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I'm bored of reach, but thats just me.
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It's possible. The numbers rose again on Saturday and with the map pack coming in just over a week, more players will likely shift their attention back over to Reach.
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Hopefully lots of the people on this weekend decide to stick around throughout the week and bring the numbers back up.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Squadly 1/10 of the population left after the first month, right? Thanks for this though. Any word on a Halo 3 population one?[/quote] Not everyone plays every given day. I love Halo: Reach, but even when New Vegas came out I started only playing it every few days. People DO have other things to do, whether it's playing a different game and switching between the games, or getting some fresh air. ...or you know, jobs and school.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] RC Master [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] RC Master Wait, where are the 24h player counts for Reach on B.net?[/quote] [url]http://www.bungie.net/Projects/Reach/default.aspx[/url][/quote] Ah thanks! Thats a weird palce to put it though :/[/quote] That's what I thought as well. It took me a little while to find it at first, because I knew I had seen it before but couldn't quite remember where it was.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] RC Master Wait, where are the 24h player counts for Reach on B.net?[/quote] [url]http://www.bungie.net/Projects/Reach/default.aspx[/url][/quote] Ah thanks! Thats a weird palce to put it though :/
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Matu Flp Krawfe [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [b]Daily Reach population since Oct 29th[/b] [url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|Oct+29|Oct+30|Oct+31|Nov+1|Nov+2|Nov+3|Nov+4|Nov+5|Nov+6|Nov+7|Nov+8|Nov+9|Nov+10|Nov+11|Nov+12|Nov+13|Nov+14|Nov+15|Nov+16|Nov+17|Nov+18|Nov+19|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000|2000000|2250000&chxr=1,0,2250000&chxt=x,y&chbh=22,15,7&chs=870x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,2250000&chd=t1:1180634,1255478,1157023,996988,1062478,1014336,1015170,1150430,1270647,1221318,931124,750809,759752,769766,780314,823545,761414,613132,592997,581158,566492,657482|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+Over+Time]Click to view data in chart form[/url].[/quote] Just one critique from someone who uses graphs and statistics to do their job, your upper Y axis limit probably shouldn't be more than twice that of the largest figure you have. It makes data trends harder to pick out. :)[/quote] The reason I did that was just in case the population went way up. But otherwise, I agree.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [b]Daily Reach population since Oct 29th[/b] [url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|Oct+29|Oct+30|Oct+31|Nov+1|Nov+2|Nov+3|Nov+4|Nov+5|Nov+6|Nov+7|Nov+8|Nov+9|Nov+10|Nov+11|Nov+12|Nov+13|Nov+14|Nov+15|Nov+16|Nov+17|Nov+18|Nov+19|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000|2000000|2250000&chxr=1,0,2250000&chxt=x,y&chbh=22,15,7&chs=870x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,2250000&chd=t1:1180634,1255478,1157023,996988,1062478,1014336,1015170,1150430,1270647,1221318,931124,750809,759752,769766,780314,823545,761414,613132,592997,581158,566492,657482|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+Over+Time]Click to view data in chart form[/url].[/quote] Just one critique from someone who uses graphs and statistics to do their job, your upper Y axis limit probably shouldn't be more than twice that of the largest figure you have. It makes data trends harder to pick out. :) [Edited on 11.20.2010 6:50 AM PST]
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Hmmm, This is some pretty snazzy information you got here.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] RedBlaze956 Wow, so many hatred twisting the OP's words. Yea, we see a 50% drop, but I'm part of that 50%, because of a few reason. I enjoy playing different games, i have a life, and a job. Also take note of this. Many of my friends switched to BO when it released. now they're coming back. Now that's just me. I'm pretty sure im not the only one experiencing this.[/quote] No one is twisting my words. They're just making their own interpretations of the given data. And speaking of that, looks like Friday brought an increase of ~100,000.[/quote]With the number continuing to rise.
