Great theory. I'm curious as to how this will play out. Nice catch btw.
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Thanks :D Obviously anything could happen over the campaign, but i guess we'll see here in 3 months.
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I think the rasputin theory is the most plausible. He sees the cabal engage the vanguard, calculates odds of success and finds out we cannot win. Which also fits into your other theory if we can't have it, no one can.