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originally posted in:Collective Of Knowledge
originally posted in: Nightfall Data Analysis
8/21/2015 10:49:00 PM
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Not true I could prove with my data alone that Strange Coins and Legendary Engrams are the highest drop rate at over 60%. I've done it on two characters since about launch and 60% of the time it's those two.
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  • Hasn't the loot probabilities changed since launch.

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  • Edited by Analytical Ghost: 8/21/2015 10:52:24 PM
    It couldn't possibly be 60%, that would leave only 40% for the other 3-4 items And if you have legitimate data then show me it. If not you're invalid.

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  • Edited by Wraith Chaser: 8/21/2015 10:57:07 PM
    My point is this is totally -blam!-ing inaccurate, again I've done the nightfall every week since launch at least twice and I can guarantee you that exotics do not do a 3rd of the time. And by the way I don't know if you know how statistics work but it's not impossible for the other 3-4 items to have a 40% chance to do it's called weighting. It's actually very possible and very probable that's the case.

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  • Agreed. No way are exotics the most common. I've done tons of nightfalls and gotten one exotic EVER. Legendary weapons are by far the most common.

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  • Edited by Analytical Ghost: 8/21/2015 11:03:38 PM
    I actually got people to tell me the rewards they got, I know exactly how statistics work and you completely dodged the question. If you have data from an analysis of yours show me, because one or two individual items cant have 60% themselves, that would mean having small chances for all the other items meaning doing the nightfall would be a completely obsolete end game activity just getting those. and weighting has nothing to do with this, this all about Randomly Generated Numbers that correspond to a value that is each loot drop. think before you rant kid, things have changed since launch, its been A YEAR.

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  • Give. Stats. Until you do so your argument is invalid

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  • It's all random, all stats will prove something different

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  • Edited by Wraith Chaser: 8/21/2015 11:02:56 PM
    No actually it's not invalid lol. It's just as valid as this chump giving out random numbers and small portion sizes and saying it's fact.

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  • would you like me to provide every single step of the process of making this post, because I will.

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  • Yes

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  • ok I will explain it all to you, starting with the forum post. I posted an inquiry asking for nightfall rewards. I recorded each nightfall reward for each persons character. I did this for around 32-35 people and wrote each on paper neatly for organization. things like an exotic weapon, legendary engram and strange coins. I then took a second piece of paper and put each of the sections on it which I then tallied each of the things detailed from the forum onto the notes. I then took the tallies and counted them in order and detailed each amount of each section. I originally have 76 of these but got some more to cap it at 100. I then divided each of the numbers by 100 and got the decimal version that I then turned into percentages. I had to redo all of my work when I added the extra 24 and just went through the original process, which was unneeded but still made it even more accurate. I compared the percentages to make sure they added up to 100%, which they did, then started making this post which took about 1 hour. That good enough for you?

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  • No I need more detail.

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  • How much detail so you want? that's literally 2 and a half paragraphs of details, and youre yet to provide me the details from YOUR TESTS. until you provide any physical evidence im going to have to chalk you down to a troll who thinks he knows it all.

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  • I need moar.

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  • Be quiet troll

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  • Moar pls

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  • Moar you say ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)

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