I just wrote about this this morning somehow on the frustration on the RNG system at least on Croats Raid
https://www.bungie.net/en/Forum/Post/106280469/0/0/1
I'm very frustrated on the fact that after 30 completions of Crotas raid where at least 70% have been on Normal mode I get the same reward over and over again.
Regardless of an RNG system, this is almost factually impossible. I've done everything from logging in and out, staying in the same session and using three different characters over different days and the result tends to be always the same, the Song of Ir Yut plus some shards.
Sometimes I basically get nothing or a helmet but how could it be that I don't get any other weapon? (it's not like there are no options, Rocket, Shotgun, Sniper, Fusion Rifle) I know this will probably will go unanswered by Bungie but I'd love to hear your point of view on this.
So to recap, if you consider that I have 1/6 chances to get loot (1 from 6 guardians) and once I can get loot I can have a chance to get an exotic weapon, shaders, spaceship, sparrow, armor, and weapons:
1. Armor - Helmet
2. Shader - Criptographic
3. Shader - Glowhoo
4. Sparrow - Graverobber
5. Ship - Light in the Abyss
6. Weapon - Rocket - Hunger of Crota
7. Weapon - Fusion Rifle - Light Of the Abyss
8. Weapon - Machine Gun - Song of Ir Yut
9. Weapon - Shotgun - Swordbreaker
10. Weapon - Sniper - Black Hammer
11. Exotic item
Note: I'm not counting shards or energies since everyone seems to get this by default.
So lets make this easy. Every week I have 1 in 11 chances (considering the exotic items are just taken as items in the equation and not an exceptional drop) that means that I have 9% chances to equally getting any of these items. So if we consider 30 Raid runs, where 20 have been done in normal and at least the item has dropped for me 50%-60% of the times.
Is it logical that I only get the same item over and over again. The answer is that although is not impossible it also proves there's something extremely wrong with the RNG loot tables or that there are predefined loot tables that a player can be stuck on.
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When I got my 3rd Plan C before I got any other exotic I knew the loot system wasn't random. Some MMO nerd labeled the loot system RNG and other MMO nerds followed suit. Because they use a color code similar to MMOs people assumed Destiny had a similar loot system. IT DOESN'T! I have yet to see solid proof that the loot system is RNG, no one working for Bungie has confirmed it is or isn't. There is a loot system in place, but it's far from random. Sure you can roll a pair of dice and the numbers 2 and 12 show up less than 6 or 7 but they do show up. For some people those dice have been rolled thousands of times, not once did a 2 or 12 show.
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I've been saying for months the RNG system is broken. Desticles will throw the "It's completely random" bull at you, but we know better...
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My last 4 times beating Crota on hard only gave me shards and the emblem, 4 times in a row the same shït ! The loot system really sucks.
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It could be a 50% chance of getting something and you could never get it. It's flat out random. I have 54 templar kills and no fatebringer. Just bad luck.
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30 raids is not nearly enough to judge anything. It is more than possible to flip a coin 30 times and have it land on heads all 30 times. And that's a 50% chance. The larger your sample size gets, the closer to you will get to its actually probability. If I flip a coin 10,000,000 times. I assure you it would be pretty close to 50/50. So if you ran 10,000,000 raids, you would probably have pretty close to the same amount of everything.
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Omg. I also calculated that stuff for me too. So I know exactly what you mean.