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7/31/2020 2:00:11 PM
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What is the numeric probability of your next Exotic drop being your last class armor item?

I have been farming for my last warlock exotics amongst other things and have 5 exotics left to go. Unfortunately, as many of you know, duplicates are the bane of exotics farming except when going for new stats rolls, and I have been getting many, many, many of them. This leaves me to think that the weighing for duplicates is not dynamic, meaning that the weighing adjustment does take account of the fact that you have very few exotics left to collect, making the weighing close so useless when getting closer and closer to the last exotics. So my question to the guys at Bungie is the following: [b]Let's say I am at my last warlock exotic to collect, considering the duplicates weighing feature, what is the probability that my next exotic drop is that piece of armor?[/b] This isn't to poke fun at Bungie or rant about the weighing system but is rather an honest question to give players such as myself an idea of how much time they have to spend to get their exotics. Mainly, I would just like a numeric answer (fraction, percentage, decimal, whatever) to then run statistics off of to give myself and idea of how long it will take to acquire.

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