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Well that depends solely on initial sales. Just look at some of the people on this forum who clearly aren't smart enough to wait. They're happy with the DRM restrictions and I'll bet they'll shell out their dollar as soon as its release. Heck, they have a ton of preorders already. All that's saying to Microsoft is they can't get sales regardless of DRM restrictions.
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That and Sony just confirmed that used games DRM is up to third party publishers