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11/16/2010 11:56:28 AM
396
Reach's population over time: the stats (charts included)
Two weeks ago I thought it would be interesting to record the 24-hour population of Halo Reach once a day, so that I could eventually chart it to see trends over time and to see how other events like game releases, game updates, weekends and holidays affect population numbers.
Now that some time has passed, I've decided to post the population data for everyone to see. This data is recorded automatically every night at midnight PST. As of the time of this writing, there's population data for 18 days. Here it is.
[b]Daily Reach population for December 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:627904,619572,714700,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+December]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Dec 01:[/b] 627,904
[b]Dec 02:[/b] 619,572
[b]Dec 03:[/b] 714,700
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for November 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=930x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:996988,1062478,1014336,1015170,1150430,1270647,1221318,931124,750809,759752,769766,780314,823545,761414,613132,592997,581158,566492,657482,744015,694535,604976,659385,713895,715135,777063,791518,742180,577472,633285|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+November]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Nov 01:[/b] 996,988
[b]Nov 02:[/b] 1,062,478
[b]Nov 03:[/b] 1,014,336
[b]Nov 04:[/b] 1,015,170
[b]Nov 05:[/b] 1,150,430
[b]Nov 06:[/b] 1,270,647
[b]Nov 07:[/b] 1,221,318
[b]Nov 08:[/b] 931,124
[b]Nov 09:[/b] 750,809
[b]Nov 10:[/b] 759,752
[b]Nov 11:[/b] 769,766
[b]Nov 12:[/b] 780,314
[b]Nov 13:[/b] 823,545
[b]Nov 14:[/b] 761,414
[b]Nov 15:[/b] 613,132
[b]Nov 16:[/b] 592,997
[b]Nov 17:[/b] 581,158
[b]Nov 18:[/b] 566,492
[b]Nov 19:[/b] 657,482
[b]Nov 20:[/b] 744,015
[b]Nov 21:[/b] 694,535
[b]Nov 22:[/b] 604,976
[b]Nov 23:[/b] 659,385
[b]Nov 24:[/b] 713,895
[b]Nov 25:[/b] 715,135
[b]Nov 26:[/b] 777,063
[b]Nov 27:[/b] 791,518
[b]Nov 28:[/b] 742,180
[b]Nov 29:[/b] 577,472
[b]Nov 30:[/b] 633,285
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for October 2010[/b] (data incomplete because I didn't start recording until the 29th)
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1180634,1255478,1157023|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+October]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Oct 29:[/b] 1,180,634
[b]Oct 30:[/b] 1,255,478
[b]Oct 31:[/b] 1,157,023
[/quote]
[b]Average Reach population per day of the week since Oct 29th[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000|1:|Sunday|Monday|Tuesday|Wednesday|Thursday|Friday|Saturday&chxr=0,0,1750000&chxt=y,x&chbh=23,33&chs=440x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033&chg=25,50&chds=0,1750000&chd=t:915294,744739,739791,739409,737227,876771,977041&chtt=Average+Daily+Population+for+Halo+Reach]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Sunday:[/b] 915,294
[b]Monday:[/b] 744,739
[b]Tuesday:[/b] 739,791
[b]Wednesday:[/b] 739,409
[b]Thursday:[/b] 737,227
[b]Friday:[/b] 876,771
[b]Saturday:[/b] 977,041
[/quote]
For reference, a list of notable dates that could affect population:
[quote][b]November 1st, 2010:[/b] Dashboard update released
[b]November 2nd, 2010:[/b] Reach rank cap removed
[b]November 4th, 2010:[/b] Kinect released
[b]November 9th, 2010:[/b] Call of Duty: Black Ops and The Sims 3 released
[b]November 16th, 2010:[/b] Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood and Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit released
[b]November 18th, 2010:[/b] Black Ops title update released
[b]November 25th, 2010:[/b] Thanksgiving (USA)
[b]November 26th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend begins
[b]November 28th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend ends
[b]November 30th, 2010:[/b] Noble map pack released for Reach[/quote]
I highly recommend looking at the charts, as it makes the numbers much easier to compare to each other. If you want to follow this project, you may want to check out its homepage [url=http://www.metahalo.com/population/]here[/url] (or [url=http://www.metahalo.64digits.com/population/]here[/url] if that link isn't working.) There you can also view the same charts, but for Halo 3.
And before anyone asks, I do plan on creating more charts to show the data in different ways. Weekdays versus weekends would be one simple example. I'll update this post each night, since I can't do it automatically.
[Edited on 12.04.2010 12:51 AM PST]
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] THOMSY99 Still alot of people, just wait a few weeks, when people are bored of Black Ops. [/quote] if they arent bored of mw2 which is a year old and kicking reach's butt, then they wont get bored with black ops anytime soon.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BLACKfrost3788 Interesting... This is true for a few reasons... [b]#1 Fanboys are loyal (in a good way)[/b] #2 BO has more of an older audience #3 Halo: Reach has more of a younger audience.[/quote]Too bad fan boys are [b]so loyal[/b] they impede the progress of necessary change in the game mechanics. Getting stone walled by Bungie is one thing, but getting stone walled by people thinking Bungie knows everything about what makes good games is another.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] THOMSY99 Still alot of people, just wait a few weeks, when people are bored of Black Ops. Plus we have new maps coming soon. But most people play more than 1 game, they play one for a week, and rotate, no problem with that, change is good.[/quote] Got black ops when it came out and got bored already, mostly because the levels are repetetive (which is logical) and because I barely find a game. In Reach the level requirements will take you alot of time, which I don't mind, and I find games alot quicker even with a Strict NAT.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Oh GodLike One [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BrenGT2 Thanks for this Triton. It's definitely interesting to see the population progression on a daily basis.[/quote] '[i]progression[/i]' - lol. Progression implies a definite pattern of advancement, moving foward. retrogression or deterioration would be closer to the mark. From 1,180,634 to 657,482 (using two friday figures) is like half the population drop. And a LOT of people only come on for 20 minutes to get the easy credit/rank boost provided by challenges ... and dont bungie know that - see the latest 16000 boost - lol. (ironic, how boosting was seen as evil in H3, now a bungie endorsed activity).[/quote] Progression: a passing successively from one member of a series to the next; succession; sequence. I think he used the correct word. And every weekend there is a definitive pattern of advancement.[/quote] Would help if you even read what you type ;) Lets look at a key word on your definition "succession"; "[i]The act of succeeding, or following after; a following of things in order of time or place, or a series of things so following;[1913 Webster][/i]". Hope I dont have to post a definition of "succeed" - LOL. But how "succeed" or "advancement" (other than advance down) cover a Friday figure of 1,180,634 going to a following Fridays figure of 657,482 ?!? You do notice that it is ALMOST HALF?? Didnt see an extra zero by mistake?? Show us how every Friday (so you compare like-for-like) is moving up in numbers. Be interested to see this ... we may have a solution for the GFC - LOL.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 Sweet. And the population seems to be stabilizing now. Last week the numbers went down through the week until the weekend. So far this week they're going up. The numbers are declining not going up. F Nov 12: 780,314 Sat Nov 13: 823,545 Sun Nov 14: 761,414 M Nov 15: 613,132 T Nov 16: 592,997 W Nov 17: 581,158 TH Nov 18: 566,492 F Nov 19: 657,482 Sat Nov 20: 744,015 Sun 21: 694,535 M 22: 604,976 It will be interesting to see the numbers around X-Mas. [Edited on 11.24.2010 3:34 AM PST]
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BenedictArnoldV 48% decline in 2 weeks seems like dying to me. Wait until they start charging for the new map packs and see who's wiling to bone up the money to play their favorite playlist. [/quote]The only playlist someone that doesn't have the map pack won't be able to play is the DLC playlist. All of the regular playlists will stay the same as they are now.
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48% decline in 2 weeks seems like dying to me. Wait until they start charging for the new map packs and see who's wiling to bone up the money to play their favorite playlist.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Gorean [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] THOMSY99 Still alot of people, just wait a few weeks, when people are bored of Black Ops. Plus we have new maps coming soon. But most people play more than 1 game, they play one for a week, and rotate, no problem with that, change is good.[/quote] I played Black Ops for two days before I got tired of it. I'm sure the Reach population will recover. [/quote] Ya got to think about this friday (Game be more affordable and people will buy it). Ya expect a rise in players by this weekend.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] THOMSY99 Still alot of people, just wait a few weeks, when people are bored of Black Ops. Plus we have new maps coming soon. But most people play more than 1 game, they play one for a week, and rotate, no problem with that, change is good.[/quote] I played Black Ops for two days before I got tired of it. I'm sure the Reach population will recover.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BLACKfrost3788 Interesting... This is true for a few reasons... #1 Fanboys are loyal (in a good way) #2 BO has more of an older audience #3 Halo: Reach has more of a younger audience.[/quote] How did you come to those conclusions? The only way to know that information with a very high level of certainty would be to get the data from Microsoft.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Protodragon Win thread is win. While I've gone off Reach now, (I think, quite simply, Black Ops is better. I still lvoe Halo, I'm just having a way better time with Blops at the moment. *Sits in flameproof fort*), I think this thread's great. Good to see all you guys who still play Reach being loyal. I'm surprised to see that much of a dip in population on Black Ops' release date. I expected more, especially considering that 56% of Black Ops' sales were on 360. [/quote]I think most of the Black Ops fans either acted like fanboys and never bought Reach, couldn't afford Reach, or left in the population drop shortly after release.
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Win thread is win. While I've gone off Reach now, (I think, quite simply, Black Ops is better. I still lvoe Halo, I'm just having a way better time with Blops at the moment. *Sits in flameproof fort*), I think this thread's great. Good to see all you guys who still play Reach being loyal. I'm surprised to see that much of a dip in population on Black Ops' release date. I expected more, especially considering that 56% of Black Ops' sales were on 360.
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Interesting... This is true for a few reasons... #1 Fanboys are loyal (in a good way) #2 BO has more of an older audience #3 Halo: Reach has more of a younger audience.
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Sweet. And the population seems to be stabilizing now. Last week the numbers went down through the week until the weekend. So far this week they're going up. [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] longhorn10 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] longhorn10 Very cool to see the charts. MetaHalo is coming along nicely, I may add ;) Am I losing my noodle, or reading the charts wrong, or does H3 have a higher population than Reach fairly consistently?[/quote]You're looking at them wrong. Halo 3 has one less digit. Although it does seem to fair better on Thursdays (compared to wednesdays)[/quote] Lol! Okay, thanks. Damn them and their mis-represented graphs. If I can't tell the difference there, I probably shouldn't be doing this audit. Its dangerous. *quits working*[/quote] Yeah, I've think the Halo 3 graph should be a little more comparable to Reach's but you can figure out either way. [Edited on 11.23.2010 10:14 AM PST]
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hahahaha 700,000 tops in 1 day? that's a horribly low point for CURRENT PLAYERS for Black Ops hahaha wow Bungie failed miserably.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] longhorn10 Very cool to see the charts. MetaHalo is coming along nicely, I may add ;) Am I losing my noodle, or reading the charts wrong, or does H3 have a higher population than Reach fairly consistently?[/quote]You're looking at them wrong. Halo 3 has one less digit. Although it does seem to fair better on Thursdays (compared to wednesdays)[/quote] Lol! Okay, thanks. Damn them and their mis-represented graphs. If I can't tell the difference there, I probably shouldn't be doing this audit. Its dangerous. *quits working*
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] longhorn10 Very cool to see the charts. MetaHalo is coming along nicely, I may add ;) Am I losing my noodle, or reading the charts wrong, or does H3 have a higher population than Reach fairly consistently?[/quote]You're looking at them wrong. Halo 3 has one less digit. Although it does seem to fair better on Thursdays (compared to wednesdays)
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Very cool to see the charts. MetaHalo is coming along nicely, I may add ;) Am I losing my noodle, or reading the charts wrong, or does H3 have a higher population than Reach fairly consistently?
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Oh GodLike One [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BrenGT2 Thanks for this Triton. It's definitely interesting to see the population progression on a daily basis.[/quote] '[i]progression[/i]' - lol. Progression implies a definite pattern of advancement, moving foward. retrogression or deterioration would be closer to the mark. From 1,180,634 to 657,482 (using two friday figures) is like half the population drop. And a LOT of people only come on for 20 minutes to get the easy credit/rank boost provided by challenges ... and dont bungie know that - see the latest 16000 boost - lol. (ironic, how boosting was seen as evil in H3, now a bungie endorsed activity).[/quote] Progression: a passing successively from one member of a series to the next; succession; sequence. I think he used the correct word. And every weekend there is a definitive pattern of advancement. [Edited on 11.23.2010 8:48 AM PST]
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BrenGT2 Thanks for this Triton. It's definitely interesting to see the population progression on a daily basis.[/quote] '[i]progression[/i]' - lol. Progression implies a definite pattern of advancement, moving foward. retrogression or deterioration would be closer to the mark. From 1,180,634 to 657,482 (using two friday figures) is like half the population drop. And a LOT of people only come on for 20 minutes to get the easy credit/rank boost provided by challenges ... and dont bungie know that - see the latest 16000 boost - lol. (ironic, how boosting was seen as evil in H3, now a bungie endorsed activity).
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Oh GodLike One Cant go using those wacky bungie numbers - LOL. According to [url=http://www.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=53239220]bungies own numbers[/url] even halo 3 is kicking reach's dead butt ;)[/quote] Yes, Halo 3's in-game numbers are messed up, but the numbers here on Bungie.net are fine.
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[quote] http://www.bungie.net/Projects/Reach/default.aspx http://www.bungie.net/online/default.aspx[/quote] Funny. I just made a post about this since people can't seem to find it.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] x Rusty Savage Are you getting these numbers from the homepage? I'm sure those daily numbers are for total players across all halo titles. You would have to deduct 100,000 each day because those would be Halo 3 players. Im not totally sure if this is true but i'm sure it is.[/quote] [url]http://www.bungie.net/Projects/Reach/default.aspx[/url] [url]http://www.bungie.net/online/default.aspx[/url]
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I saw more than 100K online today for the first time in a while, and that was at about 9pm GMT. Hardly peak time in the states. I wonder how things will progress after the DLC and of course the holiday season.
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Thanks for this Triton. It's definitely interesting to see the population progression on a daily basis.
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this is a pretty steep drop, if one puts this on a line plot
