Extraction shooters don't really go well with casual play.
Casual players probably won't make any good progress in extraction shooters because they will die a lot or because it's too stressful to play.
It's more for sweaty gamers
I believe the casual player base is much bigger than the sweaty player base.
Therefore if you're gonna ditch Destiny for Marathon you're ditching the majority of your players
This is all considering Marathon will be a RPG Extraction FPS
I will say though that imo if Marathon will be Free to Play and play good then Marathon will be received well
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#Offtopic
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Bungie.... Listen.... Ha! That's a good one!