It’s not quite dead yet, but it definitely doesn’t look good…
My best guess:
- Marathon has 2 seasons worth of content likely already made. These will continue as scheduled.
- Marathon will get a larger overhaul sometime later this year as a pseudo-expansion designed to drive additional engagement
- D2’s update in June will likely be the last one before D2 enters “maintenance mode” similar to Age of Triumph. The goal being to keep pushing low effort updates using as few resources as possible once the big update is released.
> worst case scenario, no updates occur following entering maintenance
> best case scenario, existing content continue to be updated (weapon reprises, lootpool refreshes using existing gear, Holiday events continue albeit with no new activities or gear outside of reprises, and Occasional new Eververse gear.
- At the end of the year, Sony will make a decision depending on how well Marathon is doing. Either:
> Marathon makes a comeback, gains a sustainable player base and continues to gain investment.
> Marathon doesn’t make a comeback, Sony puts it in maintenance mode, and Sony takes direct control of existing assets. This likely means a Destiny 3 begins development under a new/remade studio.
Basically, the adjustment means Bungie’s burning through its goodwill with Sony. If Bungie runs out, then all its negotiations (like with independence) disappears. Bungie’s team will likely be remade from the ground up as all that will be valuable to them is the name and the IPs.
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Very close other than 50% layoffs coming soon & Sony decided a year ago destiny was finished. Bungie last as long as marathon & they're absolutely next in line on the Sony chopping block, as per Sony leakers who said this weekend about the layoffs after the buyout & retention payments being concluded this week.
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100% going to be layoffs because of this and the ending of the retention payments. That has been coming for a long time. That’s why I think a massive amount of Bungie’s upcoming content has already been built. IE Marathon’s next 2 seasons and this next Destiny update. With Marathon maintaining a majority of the devs going forward with just maybe 10-ish devs for D2 just to keep it running. Sony will likely keep the Bungie name and IP, just fill it back up with their own employees. And well maybe get a D3 in 5-ish years… I don’t think Sony decided a year ago that D2 was finished, it was most likely sometime post Renegades when the player population didn’t spike as high as they wanted and the game was seeing a fast population decline. - if Renegades had popped off, all likely would’ve been forgiven but it didn’t.
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작성자: Privatbrain 5/11/2026 8:06:45 PMReason I said a year ago, it was actually 18 months ago, Jason Schrier & jeff grubb both spoke to Sony & bungie whistleblowers & both said all sources agreed that Sony decided destiny was done & would receive very limited support going forward & was in its death spiral. So with the update name change, no mention of destiny in 2moros official earnings call - they'd absolutely talk about it if there was a dlc this year - the potential 400 layoffs & the reinforcement in the earnings call that marathon is everything, we are very near the end of destiny as a franchise. I genuinely think we'll never get another paid expansion & bungie might not exist this time next year.
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I've thought for a while that given releasing marathon by march 26 was a part of the contract regarding those retention payments id bet good money that Sony added post renegades to leave destiny in a finished state so it can sit on digital stores like D1 & just require server maintenance which aren't even in Seattle (Seattle is mega expensive & a reason Sony closed firewalk so quickly), the name change & dropping all raid & dungeon tiered loot at once smacks of age of triumph 2.0 & sounds alarm bells. I also read a few tweets last week from Devs saying they were working hard on future marathon seasons, which given they're just season passes & cosmetics & QoL stuff, I'd assume they're prepping the first years content so maybe 4 seasons or so. This would have been an instruction to do this so when they get paid out & staff decide to move on, the games can function in maintenance mode. A Sony leaker just this weekend said the buyout has concluded, retention scheme is paid & finished & he's heard restructuring happening soon with 40-50% layoffs. Said Sony will give them a year to grow marathon & have finished with destiny, it's not mentioned in the earnings call at all, like it no longer exists.