All the casuals pulled out of crucible leaving the sweats to themselves. The sweats complain to Bungie saying crucible is all sweaty since they encounter each other a lot more. What does Bungie do? Create a loose SBMM so as not to drive off all the causals. Casuals will get stomped, but only to the point where they're frustrated. This isn't a win for casuals but rather a manipulation tactic from Bungie to get the cannon fodder playing again.
Only strict SBMM can be counted as a win, not loose SBMM
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It depends on exactly how loose it is. We won't know that until it lands and is tweaked. But they do have some clear aims about the differential of top player kills Vs bottom, etc. So in theory, it should be far better. Let's reserve judgment.