{{
`${userDetail.user.displayName}${userDetail.user.cachedBungieGlobalDisplayNameCode ? `#${standardizeBungieGlobalCode(userDetail.user.cachedBungieGlobalDisplayNameCode)}` : ""}`}}
{{getUserClans()}}
11/16/2010 11:56:28 AM
396
Reach's population over time: the stats (charts included)
Two weeks ago I thought it would be interesting to record the 24-hour population of Halo Reach once a day, so that I could eventually chart it to see trends over time and to see how other events like game releases, game updates, weekends and holidays affect population numbers.
Now that some time has passed, I've decided to post the population data for everyone to see. This data is recorded automatically every night at midnight PST. As of the time of this writing, there's population data for 18 days. Here it is.
[b]Daily Reach population for December 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:627904,619572,714700,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+December]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Dec 01:[/b] 627,904
[b]Dec 02:[/b] 619,572
[b]Dec 03:[/b] 714,700
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for November 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=930x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:996988,1062478,1014336,1015170,1150430,1270647,1221318,931124,750809,759752,769766,780314,823545,761414,613132,592997,581158,566492,657482,744015,694535,604976,659385,713895,715135,777063,791518,742180,577472,633285|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+November]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Nov 01:[/b] 996,988
[b]Nov 02:[/b] 1,062,478
[b]Nov 03:[/b] 1,014,336
[b]Nov 04:[/b] 1,015,170
[b]Nov 05:[/b] 1,150,430
[b]Nov 06:[/b] 1,270,647
[b]Nov 07:[/b] 1,221,318
[b]Nov 08:[/b] 931,124
[b]Nov 09:[/b] 750,809
[b]Nov 10:[/b] 759,752
[b]Nov 11:[/b] 769,766
[b]Nov 12:[/b] 780,314
[b]Nov 13:[/b] 823,545
[b]Nov 14:[/b] 761,414
[b]Nov 15:[/b] 613,132
[b]Nov 16:[/b] 592,997
[b]Nov 17:[/b] 581,158
[b]Nov 18:[/b] 566,492
[b]Nov 19:[/b] 657,482
[b]Nov 20:[/b] 744,015
[b]Nov 21:[/b] 694,535
[b]Nov 22:[/b] 604,976
[b]Nov 23:[/b] 659,385
[b]Nov 24:[/b] 713,895
[b]Nov 25:[/b] 715,135
[b]Nov 26:[/b] 777,063
[b]Nov 27:[/b] 791,518
[b]Nov 28:[/b] 742,180
[b]Nov 29:[/b] 577,472
[b]Nov 30:[/b] 633,285
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for October 2010[/b] (data incomplete because I didn't start recording until the 29th)
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1180634,1255478,1157023|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+October]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Oct 29:[/b] 1,180,634
[b]Oct 30:[/b] 1,255,478
[b]Oct 31:[/b] 1,157,023
[/quote]
[b]Average Reach population per day of the week since Oct 29th[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000|1:|Sunday|Monday|Tuesday|Wednesday|Thursday|Friday|Saturday&chxr=0,0,1750000&chxt=y,x&chbh=23,33&chs=440x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033&chg=25,50&chds=0,1750000&chd=t:915294,744739,739791,739409,737227,876771,977041&chtt=Average+Daily+Population+for+Halo+Reach]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Sunday:[/b] 915,294
[b]Monday:[/b] 744,739
[b]Tuesday:[/b] 739,791
[b]Wednesday:[/b] 739,409
[b]Thursday:[/b] 737,227
[b]Friday:[/b] 876,771
[b]Saturday:[/b] 977,041
[/quote]
For reference, a list of notable dates that could affect population:
[quote][b]November 1st, 2010:[/b] Dashboard update released
[b]November 2nd, 2010:[/b] Reach rank cap removed
[b]November 4th, 2010:[/b] Kinect released
[b]November 9th, 2010:[/b] Call of Duty: Black Ops and The Sims 3 released
[b]November 16th, 2010:[/b] Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood and Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit released
[b]November 18th, 2010:[/b] Black Ops title update released
[b]November 25th, 2010:[/b] Thanksgiving (USA)
[b]November 26th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend begins
[b]November 28th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend ends
[b]November 30th, 2010:[/b] Noble map pack released for Reach[/quote]
I highly recommend looking at the charts, as it makes the numbers much easier to compare to each other. If you want to follow this project, you may want to check out its homepage [url=http://www.metahalo.com/population/]here[/url] (or [url=http://www.metahalo.64digits.com/population/]here[/url] if that link isn't working.) There you can also view the same charts, but for Halo 3.
And before anyone asks, I do plan on creating more charts to show the data in different ways. Weekdays versus weekends would be one simple example. I'll update this post each night, since I can't do it automatically.
[Edited on 12.04.2010 12:51 AM PST]
-
Thread saved. Very interesting
-
November 9th had more population than 18th. Wow.
-
Comparing this with the Halo 3 charts, shows that Reach is only slightly lower than Halo 3 in population. Which makes sense due to Reach being released with competition.
-
Reach hasn't died yet. Some people think it died because of Black Ops. Haha
-
Reach's population numbers should be above average for this week up until Monday night, where I expect them to begin declining again.
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 I think it's safe to say that the population falling in the last few weeks has nothing to do with the quality of the game and everything to do with competition and people having other things to do. This is obvious because all of the up and downs are nearly identical between Halo 3 and Reach.[/quote] If the population starts to steadily rise again then that's probably true.[/quote]Well, it might be a little premature, but they have both risen for a few days now (compared to this time last week) and they are both rising today as well (surprising for a holiday where everyone should be busy, unlike Christmas where everyone will be on).
-
ya I have to say black ops stole a lot of fans from reach,and assassins creed really hurt home
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 I think it's safe to say that the population falling in the last few weeks has nothing to do with the quality of the game and everything to do with competition and people having other things to do. This is obvious because all of the up and downs are nearly identical between Halo 3 and Reach.[/quote] If the population starts to steadily rise again then that's probably true.
-
This is pretty sweet. [Edited on 11.25.2010 6:07 AM PST]
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] bobcatz thanks for doing this[/quote] Your welcome.
-
thanks for doing this
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] WVU Kswish9637 hahahaha 700,000 tops in 1 day? that's a horribly low point for CURRENT PLAYERS for Black Ops hahaha wow Bungie failed miserably.[/quote] [url]http://i225.photobucket.com/albums/dd179/Airomier/troll.jpg[/url]
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 Ever Friday isn't going up compared to the last Friday, it's consistently going up from the previous few days though. There hasn't been a Friday that has had fewer people on than the day before. Or even a Saturday that has had fewer people than the Friday before.[/quote] So rather than compare the drop each week you would rather compare a weekend day to a mid-week day - LOL. But lets take your claim of consecutive 3 day trends; Nov 20: 744,015 Nov 21: 694,535 Nov 22: 604,976 (22% drop in two days) Nov 13: 823,545 Nov 14: 761,414 Nov 15: 613,132 (34% drop in two days) Nov 06: 1,270,647 Nov 07: 1,221,318 Nov 08: 931,124 (36% drop in two days) All look like drops to me.
-
I think it's safe to say that the population falling in the last few weeks has nothing to do with the quality of the game and everything to do with competition and people having other things to do. This is obvious because all of the up and downs are nearly identical between Halo 3 and Reach.
-
I've replaced the general over time chart with monthly charts. I also decreased the maximum for Reach's charts, making it easier to compare the numbers. Just remember the data for October is incomplete... I didn't start recording until the 29th.
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BlackCardial99 Every game has a life expectancy, before anyone can say Reach is "dead" they need to provide a historical baseline for both a "successful" game and a "utter failure" game, during the same timeframe. Any thing short of that when someone claims Reach is "dead" is purely conjecture.[/quote] This. Compare this data against some strong baselines and see how they compare. If there is an apparent trend, I'd be more apt to listen to "Reach is Dead" rumors.
-
Every game has a life expectancy, before anyone can say Reach is "dead" they need to provide a historical baseline for both a "successful" game and a "utter failure" game, during the same timeframe. Any thing short of that when someone claims Reach is "dead" is purely conjecture.
-
Nice=)
-
these graphs are awsome
-
I don't know how you can call it dead. The numbers are so Up and Down you can't get an 'accurate' rating of Reach is dying.
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] RESESUVIVOR [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 Sweet. And the population seems to be stabilizing now. Last week the numbers went down through the week until the weekend. So far this week they're going up. The numbers are declining not going up. F Nov 12: 780,314 Sat Nov 13: 823,545 Sun Nov 14: 761,414 M Nov 15: 613,132 T Nov 16: 592,997 W Nov 17: 581,158 TH Nov 18: 566,492 F Nov 19: 657,482 Sat Nov 20: 744,015 Sun 21: 694,535 M 22: 604,976 It will be interesting to see the numbers around X-Mas.[/quote]They were as of my posting that. And now they are even higher.
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Oh GodLike One [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Oh GodLike One [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BrenGT2 Thanks for this Triton. It's definitely interesting to see the population progression on a daily basis.[/quote] '[i]progression[/i]' - lol. Progression implies a definite pattern of advancement, moving foward. retrogression or deterioration would be closer to the mark. From 1,180,634 to 657,482 (using two friday figures) is like half the population drop. And a LOT of people only come on for 20 minutes to get the easy credit/rank boost provided by challenges ... and dont bungie know that - see the latest 16000 boost - lol. (ironic, how boosting was seen as evil in H3, now a bungie endorsed activity).[/quote] Progression: a passing successively from one member of a series to the next; succession; sequence. I think he used the correct word. And every weekend there is a definitive pattern of advancement.[/quote] Would help if you even read what you type ;) Lets look at a key word on your definition "succession"; "[i]The act of succeeding, or following after; a following of things in order of time or place, or a series of things so following;[1913 Webster][/i]". Hope I dont have to post a definition of "succeed" - LOL. But how "succeed" or "advancement" (other than advance down) cover a Friday figure of 1,180,634 going to a following Fridays figure of 657,482 ?!? You do notice that it is ALMOST HALF?? Didnt see an extra zero by mistake?? Show us how every Friday (so you compare like-for-like) is moving up in numbers. Be interested to see this ... we may have a solution for the GFC - LOL.[/quote]Ever Friday isn't going up compared to the last Friday, it's consistently going up from the previous few days though. There hasn't been a Friday that has had fewer people on than the day before. Or even a Saturday that has had fewer people than the Friday before. [Edited on 11.24.2010 5:10 AM PST]
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] RighteousTyrant [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] MegaMuffin16 "reach is dead" trolls = pwned[/quote]lolwut How do you figure? The number of people playing Reach dropped by about 50% in less than 3 weeks. Anyone who sees that as a positive indicator is horribly deluded. [/quote] lol served
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Oh GodLike One Cant go using those wacky bungie numbers - LOL. According to [url=http://www.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=53239220]bungies own numbers[/url] even halo 3 is kicking reach's dead butt ;)[/quote] Yes, Halo 3's in-game numbers are messed up, but the numbers here on Bungie.net are fine.[/quote] Yeah ... right. So the can get one section of code right, but the other so totally fracked up ;) Mind you ... you may have a point ... given the numbers are still diving. If they did mess it up they have done it well bad - lol. But to further the conspiracy theory ;) Funny how Major Nelson "[i]disagreed[/i]" with bungies numbers and then got banned for posting further numbers.
-
their chart cant be 100% correct cause how many of them people are doing party boosting with one person having guests sign in. Also i know of quite a few people on here that have more than 1 xbox and have a total of 7 afk players in a game of invasion.
-
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] THOMSY99 Still alot of people, just wait a few weeks, when people are bored of Black Ops. [/quote] if they arent bored of mw2 which is a year old and kicking reach's butt, then they wont get bored with black ops anytime soon.
