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11/16/2010 11:56:28 AM
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Reach's population over time: the stats (charts included)
Two weeks ago I thought it would be interesting to record the 24-hour population of Halo Reach once a day, so that I could eventually chart it to see trends over time and to see how other events like game releases, game updates, weekends and holidays affect population numbers.
Now that some time has passed, I've decided to post the population data for everyone to see. This data is recorded automatically every night at midnight PST. As of the time of this writing, there's population data for 18 days. Here it is.
[b]Daily Reach population for December 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:627904,619572,714700,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+December]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Dec 01:[/b] 627,904
[b]Dec 02:[/b] 619,572
[b]Dec 03:[/b] 714,700
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for November 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=930x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:996988,1062478,1014336,1015170,1150430,1270647,1221318,931124,750809,759752,769766,780314,823545,761414,613132,592997,581158,566492,657482,744015,694535,604976,659385,713895,715135,777063,791518,742180,577472,633285|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+November]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Nov 01:[/b] 996,988
[b]Nov 02:[/b] 1,062,478
[b]Nov 03:[/b] 1,014,336
[b]Nov 04:[/b] 1,015,170
[b]Nov 05:[/b] 1,150,430
[b]Nov 06:[/b] 1,270,647
[b]Nov 07:[/b] 1,221,318
[b]Nov 08:[/b] 931,124
[b]Nov 09:[/b] 750,809
[b]Nov 10:[/b] 759,752
[b]Nov 11:[/b] 769,766
[b]Nov 12:[/b] 780,314
[b]Nov 13:[/b] 823,545
[b]Nov 14:[/b] 761,414
[b]Nov 15:[/b] 613,132
[b]Nov 16:[/b] 592,997
[b]Nov 17:[/b] 581,158
[b]Nov 18:[/b] 566,492
[b]Nov 19:[/b] 657,482
[b]Nov 20:[/b] 744,015
[b]Nov 21:[/b] 694,535
[b]Nov 22:[/b] 604,976
[b]Nov 23:[/b] 659,385
[b]Nov 24:[/b] 713,895
[b]Nov 25:[/b] 715,135
[b]Nov 26:[/b] 777,063
[b]Nov 27:[/b] 791,518
[b]Nov 28:[/b] 742,180
[b]Nov 29:[/b] 577,472
[b]Nov 30:[/b] 633,285
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for October 2010[/b] (data incomplete because I didn't start recording until the 29th)
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1180634,1255478,1157023|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+October]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Oct 29:[/b] 1,180,634
[b]Oct 30:[/b] 1,255,478
[b]Oct 31:[/b] 1,157,023
[/quote]
[b]Average Reach population per day of the week since Oct 29th[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000|1:|Sunday|Monday|Tuesday|Wednesday|Thursday|Friday|Saturday&chxr=0,0,1750000&chxt=y,x&chbh=23,33&chs=440x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033&chg=25,50&chds=0,1750000&chd=t:915294,744739,739791,739409,737227,876771,977041&chtt=Average+Daily+Population+for+Halo+Reach]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Sunday:[/b] 915,294
[b]Monday:[/b] 744,739
[b]Tuesday:[/b] 739,791
[b]Wednesday:[/b] 739,409
[b]Thursday:[/b] 737,227
[b]Friday:[/b] 876,771
[b]Saturday:[/b] 977,041
[/quote]
For reference, a list of notable dates that could affect population:
[quote][b]November 1st, 2010:[/b] Dashboard update released
[b]November 2nd, 2010:[/b] Reach rank cap removed
[b]November 4th, 2010:[/b] Kinect released
[b]November 9th, 2010:[/b] Call of Duty: Black Ops and The Sims 3 released
[b]November 16th, 2010:[/b] Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood and Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit released
[b]November 18th, 2010:[/b] Black Ops title update released
[b]November 25th, 2010:[/b] Thanksgiving (USA)
[b]November 26th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend begins
[b]November 28th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend ends
[b]November 30th, 2010:[/b] Noble map pack released for Reach[/quote]
I highly recommend looking at the charts, as it makes the numbers much easier to compare to each other. If you want to follow this project, you may want to check out its homepage [url=http://www.metahalo.com/population/]here[/url] (or [url=http://www.metahalo.64digits.com/population/]here[/url] if that link isn't working.) There you can also view the same charts, but for Halo 3.
And before anyone asks, I do plan on creating more charts to show the data in different ways. Weekdays versus weekends would be one simple example. I'll update this post each night, since I can't do it automatically.
[Edited on 12.04.2010 12:51 AM PST]
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Neylon x bloody hell, january's graph is perfectly regular ha.[/quote] Only if you use bungies [i]version[/i] ;) XBL own feed shows way different numbers - never bothered to plot it or calculate a percentage, but is still dropping. Mjr Nelson got another wrist slap early december for questioning bungies numbers (for the second time) lol. Thought bungie would have done more with the map contest stuff by now though ... get something fresh with the game. At least todays challenge is a move away from the default set.
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bloody hell, january's graph is perfectly regular ha.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] FlanelsRigowski Reach IS dying. Just compare this game to the population of H2/3 at similar dates, for example January after Halo 2 came out, as well as Halo 3's first January. [/quote] For the millionth time, the environment of online gaming has changed since the prior game releases. The Halo franchise has stiffer competition than ever as well as a very crowded release market. Check the above link, you'll see healthy and improving numbers.
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Reach IS dying. Just compare this game to the population of H2/3 at similar dates, for example January after Halo 2 came out, as well as Halo 3's first January. [Edited on 01.20.2011 8:59 PM PST]
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Xx Niner7 xX You stopped in December?[/quote] [url=http://www.metahalo.com/population/]Ahem[/url]
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Halo_Master247 Upon looking at the relese date of black ops 180,315 people stopped playing halo reach to play black ops. Lol I wonder how many have already came back.[/quote] I CAME BACK!.... i wanted to know why i didn't have my ammo counter on my gun!
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You stopped in December?
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] III Kirby III [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Obi Wan Stevobi Cool stats. Needs more theories on why Reach is dead, though.[/quote] I don't think it has anything to do with the release of these other popular titles. Even before the release of those games, like Black Ops, the numbers for reach were staggeringly underwhelming considering the relative age of the game (less than 2 months) and the considerable hype paired with its release. The sad reality: the game just isn't up to par with its predacessors. Even die hard Halo fans have all but abandoned the game, or significantly reduced the volume of which they play it. Couple that with release of these other popular titles and you have a dying game that will be all but obsolete by this time next year, relative to the success of the previous games. [/quote] Some of us hardcore halo fans have other stuff to do. I apologize for having a life that is not all video games. My bad.
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awesome work on the charts 700,000 people is a lot. lol and people say its dead? pshhh
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] puRE x1 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] longhorn10 Seems to me like the numbers are stabilizing, which is what I expected. Lol @ "this gaem will be ded by december!!!"[/quote] December isn't over with yet, mister![/quote] :P I think the numbers should start to go up a little. People will be on break/vacation soon, and then a lot of kiddies will be getting Reach for Christmas.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] longhorn10 Seems to me like the numbers are stabilizing, which is what I expected. Lol @ "this gaem will be ded by december!!!"[/quote] December isn't over with yet, mister!
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Seems to me like the numbers are stabilizing, which is what I expected. Lol @ "this gaem will be ded by december!!!"
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Stopped by to visit an old favorite and noticed that December's numbers arestalled. Hope all is well ev1l tr1t0n and we get to see how December shakes out, especially now that DLC and MLG are in effect.
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Great post, op. You just proved all those "Reach is dead" idiots wrong.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] johndabomb5000 Thankyou! I have posted some threads before for the people who say that reach has died that recently the population is actually somewhat coming back[/quote] Which is what anyone with half a brain has been saying. Whenever a new game comes out, no matter what it is, other game populations will notice a dip. You can't seriously expect people to ignore every other game and play Reach for the rest of eternity? The newness has worn off and now only the true fans will continue to play.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] bryo [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] QuestVibes [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Three Vaders So looks like the BO people finally learned huh? I guess that's why I noticed alot more people in Reach these past few weeks...[/quote] Man I got bored with BO faaaaast. Campfest, campfest, campfest. [/quote] Last time I buy a COD. Nothing has changed, its still nothing but a crappy Quake 3 mod.[/quote]I played Black Ops for ONE week, then went back to Reach. It was nothing but MW2 but with crappier maps
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Wow, considering all the competition Reach has to deal with in terms of other games as opposed to Halo 3, I'd say it's stacking up pretty well. Take that, all you idiots carrying a "the end is nigh" sign.
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Thankyou! I have posted some threads before for the people who say that reach has died that recently the population is actually somewhat coming back
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thread saved. now all reach fanboys can understand how -blam!- this game is compared to reach and that its dying
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lt Dengel it seems as tho someone has stopped taking measurements [/quote]He is still updating the website, he just hasn't been keeping up on the thread.
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Reach < Black Ops Seriously though, Black Ops owns, so much stuff was fixed from mw2
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] QuestVibes [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Three Vaders So looks like the BO people finally learned huh? I guess that's why I noticed alot more people in Reach these past few weeks...[/quote] Man I got bored with BO faaaaast. Campfest, campfest, campfest. [/quote] Last time I buy a COD. Nothing has changed, its still nothing but a crappy Quake 3 mod.
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it seems as tho someone has stopped taking measurements
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Interesting... No noticeable boost in players on Nov 30th. I would have thought you'd see a small spike because of the Noble map pack.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Three Vaders So looks like the BO people finally learned huh? I guess that's why I noticed alot more people in Reach these past few weeks...[/quote] Man I got bored with BO faaaaast. Campfest, campfest, campfest.
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So looks like the BO people finally learned huh? I guess that's why I noticed alot more people in Reach these past few weeks...
