It’s a 3/4th chance of being cabal event. Therefore the math would be (3/4)^x for 5 in a row it’s (3/4)^5, which gets about a 23%.
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Nope, there's 3 locations for taken blight and 1 for cabal in lost oasis.
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Well 2 can be cabal, but the amount of spots does not equal the odds. It is far more likely to be cabal.
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Agree to disagree.
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It’s not an opinion though, have you ever read patch notes? It used to be close to 50/50 but when people didn’t like the event they decreased the odds.