Actually the odds of getting 5 in a row are about 23% assuming it’s got a 1/4th Galen which even before this seemed to be a bit high for what it actually was.
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The maths is 1/4 to the power of x, with x being the number of events. One out of 4 events at LO are cabal, thus 1/4 and if there is 5 events x = 5. Thus 1/4 to the power of 5, or 1/4 × 1/4 × 1/4 × 1/4 × 1/4 = 1/1024.
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It’s a 3/4th chance of being cabal event. Therefore the math would be (3/4)^x for 5 in a row it’s (3/4)^5, which gets about a 23%.
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Nope, there's 3 locations for taken blight and 1 for cabal in lost oasis.
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Well 2 can be cabal, but the amount of spots does not equal the odds. It is far more likely to be cabal.
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Agree to disagree.
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It’s not an opinion though, have you ever read patch notes? It used to be close to 50/50 but when people didn’t like the event they decreased the odds.