Definitely seems like you either misread my first comment, or I mistyped it.
My point was that, while a working system can generate the same PE over and over again, by the time it's at its 20th cabal event, it's pushing over a 1 in a million probability.
The formula is shown in the other comment I made with this one. P=(1/2)^20
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Ok it makes more sense in context with n shown. And yeah im not sure what happened, but I'm in agreement with you. Sorry for the misunderstanding haha
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Yeah, by your logic, you're pretty much saying that we have a '50/50 chance of getting 20 heads in a row'. That's not how probablity works.
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No I never meant it that way. I was saying the opposite actually. What I meant was that each "flip", in this instance, had a 50/50 chance, but landing on heads 2 times in a row doesn't change the 50/50 chance of the 3rd flip.