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11/16/2010 11:56:28 AM
396
Reach's population over time: the stats (charts included)
Two weeks ago I thought it would be interesting to record the 24-hour population of Halo Reach once a day, so that I could eventually chart it to see trends over time and to see how other events like game releases, game updates, weekends and holidays affect population numbers.
Now that some time has passed, I've decided to post the population data for everyone to see. This data is recorded automatically every night at midnight PST. As of the time of this writing, there's population data for 18 days. Here it is.
[b]Daily Reach population for December 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:627904,619572,714700,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+December]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Dec 01:[/b] 627,904
[b]Dec 02:[/b] 619,572
[b]Dec 03:[/b] 714,700
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for November 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=930x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:996988,1062478,1014336,1015170,1150430,1270647,1221318,931124,750809,759752,769766,780314,823545,761414,613132,592997,581158,566492,657482,744015,694535,604976,659385,713895,715135,777063,791518,742180,577472,633285|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+November]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Nov 01:[/b] 996,988
[b]Nov 02:[/b] 1,062,478
[b]Nov 03:[/b] 1,014,336
[b]Nov 04:[/b] 1,015,170
[b]Nov 05:[/b] 1,150,430
[b]Nov 06:[/b] 1,270,647
[b]Nov 07:[/b] 1,221,318
[b]Nov 08:[/b] 931,124
[b]Nov 09:[/b] 750,809
[b]Nov 10:[/b] 759,752
[b]Nov 11:[/b] 769,766
[b]Nov 12:[/b] 780,314
[b]Nov 13:[/b] 823,545
[b]Nov 14:[/b] 761,414
[b]Nov 15:[/b] 613,132
[b]Nov 16:[/b] 592,997
[b]Nov 17:[/b] 581,158
[b]Nov 18:[/b] 566,492
[b]Nov 19:[/b] 657,482
[b]Nov 20:[/b] 744,015
[b]Nov 21:[/b] 694,535
[b]Nov 22:[/b] 604,976
[b]Nov 23:[/b] 659,385
[b]Nov 24:[/b] 713,895
[b]Nov 25:[/b] 715,135
[b]Nov 26:[/b] 777,063
[b]Nov 27:[/b] 791,518
[b]Nov 28:[/b] 742,180
[b]Nov 29:[/b] 577,472
[b]Nov 30:[/b] 633,285
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for October 2010[/b] (data incomplete because I didn't start recording until the 29th)
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1180634,1255478,1157023|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+October]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Oct 29:[/b] 1,180,634
[b]Oct 30:[/b] 1,255,478
[b]Oct 31:[/b] 1,157,023
[/quote]
[b]Average Reach population per day of the week since Oct 29th[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000|1:|Sunday|Monday|Tuesday|Wednesday|Thursday|Friday|Saturday&chxr=0,0,1750000&chxt=y,x&chbh=23,33&chs=440x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033&chg=25,50&chds=0,1750000&chd=t:915294,744739,739791,739409,737227,876771,977041&chtt=Average+Daily+Population+for+Halo+Reach]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Sunday:[/b] 915,294
[b]Monday:[/b] 744,739
[b]Tuesday:[/b] 739,791
[b]Wednesday:[/b] 739,409
[b]Thursday:[/b] 737,227
[b]Friday:[/b] 876,771
[b]Saturday:[/b] 977,041
[/quote]
For reference, a list of notable dates that could affect population:
[quote][b]November 1st, 2010:[/b] Dashboard update released
[b]November 2nd, 2010:[/b] Reach rank cap removed
[b]November 4th, 2010:[/b] Kinect released
[b]November 9th, 2010:[/b] Call of Duty: Black Ops and The Sims 3 released
[b]November 16th, 2010:[/b] Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood and Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit released
[b]November 18th, 2010:[/b] Black Ops title update released
[b]November 25th, 2010:[/b] Thanksgiving (USA)
[b]November 26th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend begins
[b]November 28th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend ends
[b]November 30th, 2010:[/b] Noble map pack released for Reach[/quote]
I highly recommend looking at the charts, as it makes the numbers much easier to compare to each other. If you want to follow this project, you may want to check out its homepage [url=http://www.metahalo.com/population/]here[/url] (or [url=http://www.metahalo.64digits.com/population/]here[/url] if that link isn't working.) There you can also view the same charts, but for Halo 3.
And before anyone asks, I do plan on creating more charts to show the data in different ways. Weekdays versus weekends would be one simple example. I'll update this post each night, since I can't do it automatically.
[Edited on 12.04.2010 12:51 AM PST]
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people need to stop complaining bout Reach dieing. Just check the numbers, it isn't going to be constant amount of people everyday.
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You have created one of the most well made forums because you include data and facts.
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kepin it alive
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Population is going up, why? Because people are coming back. I stood by Halo through COD, AC:B, F:NV, etc and my friends left. I slowly promised them happiness and gratification from their frustration in other games through Halo. I told them Halo would be happy to have them back. All of my friends are playing Halo again.
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cool list bro.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 The number is now just about the level it was when Black Ops came out, and still rising.[/quote] Yeah, it does look like it's rising again. Hopefully it will level out at a significantly higher number after the map pack is released.[/quote] Given how it's a free Gold weekend the numbers might be inflated. I would say a look at the numbers a week after the Noble Map Pack releases might be free of any bias.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 The number is now just about the level it was when Black Ops came out, and still rising.[/quote] Yeah, it does look like it's rising again. Hopefully it will level out at a significantly higher number after the map pack is released.
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The number is now just about the level it was when Black Ops came out, and still rising.
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Welcome to Halo Reach Saved
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Cool info.
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Reach's current 10-15% increase seem to be due to the Holiday, and nothing more.
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so its numbers had been basically constantly high and took a dive on black ops release? well it doesnt take a genius to have seen that coming. well i guess that means we can forget about the "reach fails because its numbers are low" thing, since they are only low because of the release of one of the best selling games of all time
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ruze84 I gave COD a try, and kept it for only two days. The guys at GameStop were completely confused that I brought it back. I told them 'I won't be the first, so get ready.' It's a solid game and all, with a few things I wish Reach had (training mode, emblem customization options, weapon personalization), but overall it doesn't add anything to the FPS genre. When a friend of mine asked what I thought of it, I said it's 'Rainbow Six: Vegas 3'.[/quote] Hey! I liked Rainbow six! Lol
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] rustyferg Haha, I love how people say Halo 3 is beating Reach in online players, yet if you look at Reach's numbers it is the number of players Currently Online and Halo 3's numbers are players online in the last 24h. Thanks for the numbers and graph by the way. :)[/quote] Yeah, it seems like not a lot of people realize the 24 hour numbers for Reach are on a different page.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] o S IE C IR E T Reach's population numbers should be above average for this week up until Monday night, where I expect them to begin declining again.[/quote]Of course they'll be lower on Monday, then Tuesday they should be a little higher and that will continue until the weekend where it will reach it's peak on Saturday, and then it will decline again just like every week. Of course next week will probably have very large numbers due to the Noble Map Pack being released.
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Why is everyone so freaking worried? Yes, Reach's population dropped a bit. But guess what. When there is a major Blockbuster game (Black Ops, New Vegas, Brotherhood) is released, a large number of people will get that to try because it's the new "Cool thing." Reach had the same effect on MW2 and other games when it game out. Eventually, people will return to Reach with new updates, achievements, etc. They will, so just chill
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interasting,thread saved.
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Haha, I love how people say Halo 3 is beating Reach in online players, yet if you look at Reach's numbers it is the number of players Currently Online and Halo 3's numbers are players online in the last 24h. Thanks for the numbers and graph by the way. :)
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I love people that are interprating this chart negatively, this shows me the drop from black ops and then a steady hold. i predict it picking up soon. I would even venture out and say we might make a level 1mill population a day by christmas
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ODST 6 Comparing this with the Halo 3 charts, shows that Reach is only slightly lower than Halo 3 in population. Which makes sense due to Reach being released with competition.[/quote] Note there's one more digit for the Reach charts. Reach has far more players than Halo 3 right now.
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Something so simple yet useful. Great work and dedication for recording it each day. I don't see the population dieing at all. Whenever I come on the forums people think it's the end of the world and Reach is going to die. They said the same thing for Halo 3 every single year around the time CoD or any other major fps came and yet it lived on. I rarely spent over a minute looking for a match in Halo 3 this past summer and I haven't had trouble at all with Halo Reach either.
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That was nice and informative ,thanks
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I'm predicting that population will shoot up with the release of the map pack, stay that way for a few days, and then drop down again. after a while I'm predicting the population to shoot up at around Christmas and in the near future when people switch from BO to Reach again
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18315 people left to play Call of Duty Black Ops. 20135 people left to play Assassin's Creed Brotherhood. 1094 people came from Kinect to Halo Reach. 14666 people left for Call of Duty Black Ops' title update. I calculated all this information. CoD Fans playing Halo Reach(total)=32981 Assassin's Creed fans playing Halo Reach=20135
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You missed out one of the dates. 19th November: When people stopped giving a -blam!- about Black Ops. :D
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Thread saved. Very interesting
