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11/16/2010 11:56:28 AM
396
Reach's population over time: the stats (charts included)
Two weeks ago I thought it would be interesting to record the 24-hour population of Halo Reach once a day, so that I could eventually chart it to see trends over time and to see how other events like game releases, game updates, weekends and holidays affect population numbers.
Now that some time has passed, I've decided to post the population data for everyone to see. This data is recorded automatically every night at midnight PST. As of the time of this writing, there's population data for 18 days. Here it is.
[b]Daily Reach population for December 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:627904,619572,714700,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+December]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Dec 01:[/b] 627,904
[b]Dec 02:[/b] 619,572
[b]Dec 03:[/b] 714,700
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for November 2010[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=930x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:996988,1062478,1014336,1015170,1150430,1270647,1221318,931124,750809,759752,769766,780314,823545,761414,613132,592997,581158,566492,657482,744015,694535,604976,659385,713895,715135,777063,791518,742180,577472,633285|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+November]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Nov 01:[/b] 996,988
[b]Nov 02:[/b] 1,062,478
[b]Nov 03:[/b] 1,014,336
[b]Nov 04:[/b] 1,015,170
[b]Nov 05:[/b] 1,150,430
[b]Nov 06:[/b] 1,270,647
[b]Nov 07:[/b] 1,221,318
[b]Nov 08:[/b] 931,124
[b]Nov 09:[/b] 750,809
[b]Nov 10:[/b] 759,752
[b]Nov 11:[/b] 769,766
[b]Nov 12:[/b] 780,314
[b]Nov 13:[/b] 823,545
[b]Nov 14:[/b] 761,414
[b]Nov 15:[/b] 613,132
[b]Nov 16:[/b] 592,997
[b]Nov 17:[/b] 581,158
[b]Nov 18:[/b] 566,492
[b]Nov 19:[/b] 657,482
[b]Nov 20:[/b] 744,015
[b]Nov 21:[/b] 694,535
[b]Nov 22:[/b] 604,976
[b]Nov 23:[/b] 659,385
[b]Nov 24:[/b] 713,895
[b]Nov 25:[/b] 715,135
[b]Nov 26:[/b] 777,063
[b]Nov 27:[/b] 791,518
[b]Nov 28:[/b] 742,180
[b]Nov 29:[/b] 577,472
[b]Nov 30:[/b] 633,285
[/quote]
[b]Daily Reach population for October 2010[/b] (data incomplete because I didn't start recording until the 29th)
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|15|16|17|18|19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27|28|29|30|31|1:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000&chxr=1,0,1750000&chxt=x,y&chbh=14,15,7&chs=962x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033,FF9900&chds=0,1750000&chd=t1:0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1180634,1255478,1157023|0,0&chg=25,50&chtt=Daily+Halo+Reach+Population+for+the+Month+of+October]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Oct 29:[/b] 1,180,634
[b]Oct 30:[/b] 1,255,478
[b]Oct 31:[/b] 1,157,023
[/quote]
[b]Average Reach population per day of the week since Oct 29th[/b]
[url=http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?chxl=0:|0|250000|500000|750000|1000000|1250000|1500000|1750000|1:|Sunday|Monday|Tuesday|Wednesday|Thursday|Friday|Saturday&chxr=0,0,1750000&chxt=y,x&chbh=23,33&chs=440x270&cht=bvs&chco=AA0033&chg=25,50&chds=0,1750000&chd=t:915294,744739,739791,739409,737227,876771,977041&chtt=Average+Daily+Population+for+Halo+Reach]Click to view data in chart form[/url]
[quote]
[b]Sunday:[/b] 915,294
[b]Monday:[/b] 744,739
[b]Tuesday:[/b] 739,791
[b]Wednesday:[/b] 739,409
[b]Thursday:[/b] 737,227
[b]Friday:[/b] 876,771
[b]Saturday:[/b] 977,041
[/quote]
For reference, a list of notable dates that could affect population:
[quote][b]November 1st, 2010:[/b] Dashboard update released
[b]November 2nd, 2010:[/b] Reach rank cap removed
[b]November 4th, 2010:[/b] Kinect released
[b]November 9th, 2010:[/b] Call of Duty: Black Ops and The Sims 3 released
[b]November 16th, 2010:[/b] Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood and Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit released
[b]November 18th, 2010:[/b] Black Ops title update released
[b]November 25th, 2010:[/b] Thanksgiving (USA)
[b]November 26th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend begins
[b]November 28th, 2010:[/b] Free Gold weekend ends
[b]November 30th, 2010:[/b] Noble map pack released for Reach[/quote]
I highly recommend looking at the charts, as it makes the numbers much easier to compare to each other. If you want to follow this project, you may want to check out its homepage [url=http://www.metahalo.com/population/]here[/url] (or [url=http://www.metahalo.64digits.com/population/]here[/url] if that link isn't working.) There you can also view the same charts, but for Halo 3.
And before anyone asks, I do plan on creating more charts to show the data in different ways. Weekdays versus weekends would be one simple example. I'll update this post each night, since I can't do it automatically.
[Edited on 12.04.2010 12:51 AM PST]
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Updated with the latest data. The map pack had much less of an effect than I thought it would.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Che55 lol, not even a map pack can get people to play. I bet the map pack sales are WAY down.[/quote] aren't you just a negative nellie?
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] HK6 Can't wait to see what the population will rise to on Tuesday.[/quote] lol, not even a map pack can get people to play. I bet the map pack sales are WAY down.
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Free Gold weekend really made the numbers go up. They should just make XBL free!
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] BLACKfrost3788 Interesting... This is true for a few reasons... #1 Fanboys are loyal (in a good way) #2 BO has more of an older audience #3 Halo: Reach has more of a younger audience.[/quote] Interesting... #2 My 13 old son plays BO, and all his friends from school do too but as for myself I havn't played BO yet but have watched my son play looks like MW2 to me. #3 I like reach like the rest of the halo titles and I'm 34. CE is what got me to buy an Xbox to begin with. I will save this thread
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Arm0r l0ck pr0 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] AuraSoldier313 Ah very nice info you've collected here. Good to see that Reach hasn't 'died' like so many idiots keep claiming. Thread saved.[/quote]if you look at it it is dying, but slowly. Now for slight trolling! will the events of h2 happen again? will bungie disable live for reach before h3?i totlaay think they will i mean, look at how fast HR is dying it's liek halving every day![/quote] *feeds the troll* Now go rot under your bridge.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Mouthsmasher Did I miss it or has there not been an update since the 26th? I really want to see how this played out with the release of the map pack...[/quote] I don't always update this post every night because I have to do it manually. However, the site automatically updates with new data every night. Anyways, I've updated the main post with current data.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Obi Wan Stevobi Cool stats. Needs more theories on why Reach is dead, though.[/quote] I think there are some fundamental issues that have put off a lot of people, like grenades and melee. A single frag grenade can kill your when you're full shields and full health, if you're unlucky enough. If you've taken even the slightest damage to your shields and a grenade hits you though, you're guaranteed dead. Then there's the problem with melee. Melee hits don't bleed through and the melee cooldown has been reduced, essentially equalizing almost every single melee battle into a neutral kill. In my opinion, both are ridiculous and make gameplay on small maps very frustrating. The release of other big games coupled with things like that spell something bad for Reach's population.[/quote]start a custom game and throw a grenade at your feet. you won't die. it takes two grenades. just another myth perpetuated by the misinformed. grenades are not the problem. they seem like nukes to people because you run slower and have a lower jump height making it more difficult to get away from them. melee on the other hand needs some work.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Mouthsmasher Did I miss it or has there not been an update since the 26th? I really want to see how this played out with the release of the map pack...[/quote]Go to the website, he's still updating it there. And it did go up a significant amount on Tuesday, and it is a little higher right now from yesterday as well.
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Did I miss it or has there not been an update since the 26th? I really want to see how this played out with the release of the map pack...
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Arm0r l0ck pr0 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] AuraSoldier313 Ah very nice info you've collected here. Good to see that Reach hasn't 'died' like so many idiots keep claiming. Thread saved.[/quote]if you look at it it is dying, but slowly. Now for slight trolling! will the events of h2 happen again? will bungie disable live for reach before h3?i totlaay think they will i mean, look at how fast HR is dying it's liek halving every day![/quote]lol, are you okay?
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] AuraSoldier313 Ah very nice info you've collected here. Good to see that Reach hasn't 'died' like so many idiots keep claiming. Thread saved.[/quote]if you look at it it is dying, but slowly. Now for slight trolling! will the events of h2 happen again? will bungie disable live for reach before h3?i totlaay think they will i mean, look at how fast HR is dying it's liek halving every day!
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] FJFC Yesterday's population was [b]777[/b],063 lol[/quote]I looked at it when it was 777,770. I was so close to straight sevens, but I think it jumped right over it because I was hoping to catch it, and it just jumped to 778,000.
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Yesterday's population was [b]777[/b],063 lol
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nice info.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Methew [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 The number is now just about the level it was when Black Ops came out, and still rising.[/quote] Yeah, it does look like it's rising again. Hopefully it will level out at a significantly higher number after the map pack is released.[/quote] Given how it's a free Gold weekend the numbers might be inflated. I would say a look at the numbers a week after the Noble Map Pack releases might be free of any bias.[/quote]That's what I thought as well. But, yes, the weekend after the map pack will be the most unbiased set of data.[/quote] I'm not sure you could consider a week after the map pack unbiased. Lots of people will still be just getting it, going for achievements, etc.
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Thanks for making this, thread saved.
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Can't wait to see what the population will rise to on Tuesday.
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I enjoy the original post very much.
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Its rising again guys almost 1million :D ps. check [url=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEllGv9lq5w] this [/url] out.
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[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Methew [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] ev1l tr1t0n [quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Lyle91 The number is now just about the level it was when Black Ops came out, and still rising.[/quote] Yeah, it does look like it's rising again. Hopefully it will level out at a significantly higher number after the map pack is released.[/quote] Given how it's a free Gold weekend the numbers might be inflated. I would say a look at the numbers a week after the Noble Map Pack releases might be free of any bias.[/quote]That's what I thought as well. But, yes, the weekend after the map pack will be the most unbiased set of data.
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500,000 players=dead? Shut the -blam!- up.
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keep this alive nao
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its already dropped to almost half of what it originally was. And it is going to continue to drop when people get bored of waitin for patch.(im not saying i am,im just stating what the majority is) I myself am leaving reach on dec 5th for various reasons.
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good job! If you look at november, you can see in the beginning the highest points (5 & 6 i believe) were the saturday and sunday before BlackOps came out, and then after that it dropped down ^.^. Just Sayin', the exodus of casual gamers is noticeable.
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people need to stop complaining bout Reach dieing. Just check the numbers, it isn't going to be constant amount of people everyday.
