It seems as though the drop rate from getting wins is abysmal. What's worse is the awful teammates the game regularly decides to pair me up with. Yesterday I managed to turn around a game with 4(them)-0 (us) into a 5(us)-4(them). Today I'm getting a teammate using a non-adept scout rifle and auto who was standing behind me and not helping me with the person I traded with. Then they don't even bother reviving, getting killed off in the process by the two people still standing.
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If you’ve gone flawless this week; the weapon will continue to have a chance to drop on a win. I’d guess it’s around a 20% drop on a flawed card and a 50% drop on a flawless card