Your situation is totally in realms of the possibility. It is totally possible for you to not EVER get a launcher to drop. Past rolls do not influence future outcomes. This is probability.
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What if it is conditional probability. I wouldn't be surprised if Bungie lowered drop rates for non dlc players
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That's plausible but hard to prove without looking at the code. I have a theory that what you get is based on sort of seeding that takes into account the gear you have. I think this because too many people get the same stuff over and over. I got 2 plan c's. A lot of people would get the same raid gear over and over. Then you have people like OP that never get something. I think we can change our seed via what gear we have equipped. Just a theory though.
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well that sucks Cabal Balls....Looks like I know what I am spending commendations and marks on for a couple weeks ><
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It does indeed suck.